WEEKLY ECONOMIC UPDATE – November 12, 2018

WEEKLY ECONOMIC UPDATE – November 12, 2018

In this week’s recap: swift service sector expansion, sustained consumer optimism, a surge in wholesale inflation, and gains for equities.

Weekly Economic Update | Presented by Tim Flick | November 12, 2018

SERVICE SECTOR KEEPS BOOMING

At a lofty October mark of 60.3, the Institute for Supply Management’s non-manufacturing purchasing manager index was a bit lower than the record 61.6 reading seen in September, but it also beat the 59.3 consensus forecast from Refinitiv. Across the 12 months ending in October, the mean reading for the index was a strong 58.5. 1,2

 

IS THIS THE BEST YEAR FOR CONSUMER SENTIMENT SINCE 2000?

It could turn out that way, if the University of Michigan’s influential index maintains its current level. Its preliminary November edition came in at 98.3, slightly below the final October mark of 98.6 and slightly above the 98.0 reading projected in a Bloomberg analyst poll. The gauge has averaged a reading of 98.4 in 2018, a level unseen in the past 18 years. 3

 

WHOLESALE INFLATION JUMPS 0.6% IN A MONTH

Higher costs for fuel and industrial supplies were significant factors, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The PPI rose 2.9% across the 12 months ending in October. 4

 

A NEW MONTH, A NEW DIRECTION FOR STOCKS

In November, the market is doing its best to erase the memory of October. All three major indices advanced again last week, with the Dow Industrials adding 2.84%; the S&P 500, 2.13%; the Nasdaq Composite, 0.68%. At Friday’s close, their settlements were: Dow, 25,989.30; S&P, 2,781.01; Nasdaq, 7,406.90. 5

 

T I P   O F   T H E   W E E K

If the terms on one of your credit cards change unfavorably , you may consider dropping the card. Think twice about doing so. If you have had the account for years and the payment history is good, closing it out could possibly hurt your FICO score. Instead,  use that card for minor purchases only .

THIS WEEK

Monday marks the observance of Veterans Day; the bond market will be closed, but stocks, currencies, and commodities will be actively traded, with no major earnings news scheduled. | Tuesday, earnings roll in from Advance Auto Parts, Aramark Holdings, Bayer, Beazer Homes, Cumulus Media, Home Depot, and Tyson Foods. | On Wednesday, the latest Consumer Price Index surfaces, and investors also consider earnings news from Cisco, Griffon, Macy’s, NetApp, NetEase, and Smart & Final. | October retail sales figures appear Thursday, along with a new initial jobless claims report and earnings from America’s Car-Mart, Applied Materials, Energizer Holdings, JCPenney, Nordstrom, Nvidia, Shoe Carnival, Sonos, and Walmart. | Friday, Viacom announces Q4 results.

Q U O T E  O F  T H E  W E E K

“The best and most beautiful things in the world cannot be seen or even touched – they must be felt with the heart .”

Helen Keller

% CHANGE Y-T-D 1-YR CHG 5-YR AVG 10-YR AVG
DJIA 5.14 10.77 12.98 19.30
NASDAQ 7.29 9.73 17.80 35.81
S&P 500 4.02 7.60 11.41 20.25
         
REAL YIELD (%) 11/9 RATE 1 YR AGO 5 YRS AGO 10 YRS AGO
10 YR TIPS 1.15 0.46 0.59 2.84

 

Sources: wsj.com, bigcharts.com, tre asury.gov – 11/9/18 5,6,7,8

Indices are unmanaged, do not incur fees or expenses, and cannot be invested into directly. These returns do not include dividends. 10-year TIPS real yield = projected return at maturity given expected inflation.

T H E   W E E K L Y   R I D D L E

A young man runs away from home . Cheered on by onlookers, he makes three lefts , then finds two masked men ahead of him, but he runs toward them . Can you explain why?

LAST WEEK’S RIDDLE: It floats when born, lies down when alive, and runs as it dies. What is it?

ANSWER: Snow.

Tim Flick may be reached at 317-947-7047 or tflick@cornerfi.com www.cornerfi.com

Know someone who could use information like this?
Please feel free send us their contact information via phone or email. (Don’t worry – we’ll request their permission before adding them to our mailing list.)

Investment Advisor Representative, Cambridge Investment Research Advisors, Inc., a Registered Investment Advisor. Registered Representative, Securities offered through Cambridge Investment Research, Inc., a Broker/Dealer, Member FINRA/SIPC. Cambridge and Cornerstone Financial Advisory are not affiliated. This message distributed via use of the MarketingPro system.

This material was prepared by MarketingPro, Inc., and does not necessarily represent the views of the presenting party, nor their affiliates. The information herein has been derived from sources believed to be accurate. Please note – investing involves risk, and past performance is no guarantee of future results. Investments will fluctuate and when redeemed may be worth more or less than when originally invested. This information should not be construed as investment, tax or legal advice and may not be relied on for the purpose of avoiding any Federal tax penalty. This is neither a solicitation nor recommendation to purchase or sell any investment or insurance product or service, and should not be relied upon as such. All market indices discussed are unmanaged and are not illustrative of any particular investment. Indices do not incur management fees, costs and expenses, and cannot be invested into directly. All economic and performance data is historical and not indicative of future results. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted index of 30 actively traded blue-chip stocks. The NASDAQ Composite Index is a market-weighted index of all over-the-counter common stocks traded on the National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotation System. The Standard & Poor’s 500 (S&P 500) is a market-cap weighted index composed of the common stocks of 500 leading companies in leading industries of the U.S. economy. NYSE Group, Inc. (NYSE:NYX) operates two securities exchanges: the New York Stock Exchange (the “NYSE”) and NYSE Arca (formerly known as the Archipelago Exchange, or ArcaEx®, and the Pacific Exchange). NYSE Group is a leading provider of securities listing, trading and market data products and services. The New York Mercantile Exchange, Inc. (NYMEX) is the world’s largest physical commodity futures exchange and the preeminent trading forum for energy and precious metals, with trading conducted through two divisions – the NYMEX Division, home to the energy, platinum, and palladium markets, and the COMEX Division, on which all other metals trade. Additional risks are associated with international investing, such as currency fluctuations, political and economic instability and differences in accounting standards. This material represents an assessment of the market environment at a specific point in time and is not intended to be a forecast of future events, or a guarantee of future results. MarketingPro, Inc. is not affiliated with any person or firm that may be providing this information to you. The publisher is not engaged in rendering legal, accounting or other professional services. If assistance is needed, the reader is advised to engage the services of a competent professional.

CITATIONS:

1 – cnbc.com/2018/11/05/october-ism-non-manufacturing-index.html [11/5/18]

2 – instituteforsupplymanagement.org/ISMReport/NonMfgROB.cfm?SSO=1 [11/5/18]

3 – 247wallst.com/economy/2018/11/09/november-consumer-sentiment-slips-election-impact-negligible/ [11/9/18]

4 – marketwatch.com/story/wholesale-inflation-surges-in-october-to-6-year-high-ppi-shows-2018-11-09 [11/9/18]

5 – markets.wsj.com/us [11/9/18]

6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=11%2F9%2F17&x=0&y=0 [11/9/18]

6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=11%2F9%2F17&x=0&y=0 [11/9/18]

6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=11%2F9%2F17&x=0&y=0 [11/9/18]

6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=11%2F8%2F13&x=0&y=0 [11/9/18]

6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=11%2F8%2F13&x=0&y=0 [11/9/18]

6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=11%2F8%2F13&x=0&y=0 [11/9/18]

6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=11%2F10%2F08&x=0&y=0 [11/9/18]
6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=11%2F10%2F08&x=0&y=0 [11/9/18]
6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=11%2F10%2F08&x=0&y=0 [11/9/18]
7 – treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=realyield [11/9/18]
8 – treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=realyieldAll [11/9/18

WEEKLY ECONOMIC UPDATE – November 5, 2018

WEEKLY ECONOMIC UPDATE – November 5, 2018

In this week’s recap: exceptional jobs data, a rally on Wall Street, high marks for consumer confidence and spending, and a dip for a key factory indicator.

Weekly Economic Update | Presented by Tim Flick | November 5, 2018

HIRING SURGED LAST MONTH

The Department of Labor’s latest employment report painted a picture of a thriving economy. Payrolls expanded with 250,000 net new hires in October, with wages improving 3.1% year-over-year (that was the best 12-month wage increase in nine years). Unemployment remained remarkably low at 3.7%; underemployment, as measured by the U-6 rate, ticked down 0.1% to 7.4%. October marked the labor market’s 97th straight month of expansion; the main jobless rate has been under 5% for two years. Last month, there were 7.1 million job openings and 6.1 million unemployed Americans. 1,2

     

HOUSEHOLD SPENDING, CONFIDENCE REMAIN STRONG

The Department of Commerce reported an advance of 0.4% for personal spending in September, though personal incomes improved by only half that. The Conference Board’s consumer confidence index displayed an excellent 137.9 reading for October. 2,3

    

ISM’s FACTORY SECTOR PMI DECLINES

Slipping to 57.7 for October, the Institute for Supply Management’s purchasing manager index of manufacturing activity remained far above the 50 mark that serves as the index’s line between sector expansion and contraction. In September, this PMI reached 59.8. 3

    

RED TURNS TO GREEN ON WALL STREET

Last week saw all three major U.S. equity benchmarks add value. A 2.36% weekly gain left the Dow Jones Industrial Average at 25,270.83 when Friday’s trading day concluded. The Nasdaq Composite rose even more, improving 2.65% in five days to wrap up the week at 7,356.99. Not to be outdone, the S&P 500 advanced 2.42%. At Friday’s closing bell, it stood at 2,723.06. Thanks to these performances, the big three turned positive again for the year. 4

T I P   O F   T H E   W E E K

The cost of traveling can surprise you over the holidays. It can be less of a surprise if that cost is factored into your household’s monthly   budget .

THIS WEEK

The Institute for Supply Management releases its monthly non-manufacturing PMI on Monday; investors will consider its latest reading and earnings from Avis Budget Group, Brighthouse Financial, CNA, Invacare, Kemper, Loews, Marriott International, Mosaic, Rent-A-Center, Sysco, and Valvoline. | Earnings appear Tuesday from Archer Daniels Midland, Bausch Health, Boise Cascade, CVS Health, Eli Lilly, Etsy, Frontier Communications, GoDaddy, Martin Marietta, Papa John’s, Planet Fitness, Ralph Lauren, and Wendy’s. | Wednesday, earnings news emerges from Coty, Dean Foods, Dish Network, Green Dot, Groupon, Horizon Pharma, Hostess Brands, Humana, Keurig Dr. Pepper, Marathon Oil, Michael Kors, Monster Beverage, News Corp., Office Depot, Prudential Financial, Qualcomm, Rockwell Automation, Roku, Sempra Energy, Square, Sunoco, Take-Two Interactive, TiVo, TripAdvisor, and Twenty-First Century Fox. | The Federal Reserve makes an interest rate decision on Thursday, when Activision Blizzard, AMC Entertainment, AstraZeneca, D.R. Horton, Discovery, Dropbox, Hertz Global Holdings, Icahn Enterprises, Lions Gate Entertainment, Redfin, Unisys, Walt Disney Co., and Yelp all present earnings. | The University of Michigan releases its initial consumer sentiment index for November on Friday, complementing the latest wholesale inflation data from the federal government and earnings news from GNC Holdings and Starwood Properties.  

Q U O T E  O F  T H E  W E E K

Creativity can solve almost any problem. The creative act, the   defeat of habit by originality , overcomes everything.”

George Lois

% CHANGE Y-T-D 1-YR CHG 5-YR AVG 10-YR AVG
DJIA 2.23 7.46 12.37 17.12
NASDAQ 6.57 9.56 17.52 32.62
S&P 500 1.85 5.55 10.92 18.18
         
REAL YIELD (%) 11/2 RATE 1 YR AGO 5 YRS AGO 10 YRS AGO
10 YR TIPS 1.16 0.48 0.50 3.09

Sources: wsj.com, bigcharts.com, tre asury.gov – 11/2/18 4,5,6,7

Indices are unmanaged, do not incur fees or expenses, and cannot be invested into directly. These returns do not include dividends. 10-year TIPS real yield = projected return at maturity given expected inflation.

 

T H E   W E E K L Y   R I D D L E

It floats when born, lies down when alive, and runs as it dies. What is it?

 

LAST WEEK’S RIDDLE: In a thousand years, you will never find it. In a minute, you will notice it once. In a moment, you will see it twice. What is it?

ANSWER: The moon.

Tim Flick may be reached at 317-947-7047 or tflick@cornerfi.com www.cornerfi.com

Know someone who could use information like this?
Please feel free send us their contact information via phone or email. (Don’t worry – we’ll request their permission before adding them to our mailing list.)

Investment Advisor Representative, Cambridge Investment Research Advisors, Inc., a Registered Investment Advisor. Registered Representative, Securities offered through Cambridge Investment Research, Inc., a Broker/Dealer, Member FINRA/SIPC. Cambridge and Cornerstone Financial Advisory are not affiliated. This message distributed via use of the MarketingPro system.

This material was prepared by MarketingPro, Inc., and does not necessarily represent the views of the presenting party, nor their affiliates. The information herein has been derived from sources believed to be accurate. Please note – investing involves risk, and past performance is no guarantee of future results. Investments will fluctuate and when redeemed may be worth more or less than when originally invested. This information should not be construed as investment, tax or legal advice and may not be relied on for the purpose of avoiding any Federal tax penalty. This is neither a solicitation nor recommendation to purchase or sell any investment or insurance product or service, and should not be relied upon as such. All market indices discussed are unmanaged and are not illustrative of any particular investment. Indices do not incur management fees, costs and expenses, and cannot be invested into directly. All economic and performance data is historical and not indicative of future results. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted index of 30 actively traded blue-chip stocks. The NASDAQ Composite Index is a market-weighted index of all over-the-counter common stocks traded on the National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotation System. The Standard & Poor’s 500 (S&P 500) is a market-cap weighted index composed of the common stocks of 500 leading companies in leading industries of the U.S. economy. NYSE Group, Inc. (NYSE:NYX) operates two securities exchanges: the New York Stock Exchange (the “NYSE”) and NYSE Arca (formerly known as the Archipelago Exchange, or ArcaEx®, and the Pacific Exchange). NYSE Group is a leading provider of securities listing, trading and market data products and services. The New York Mercantile Exchange, Inc. (NYMEX) is the world’s largest physical commodity futures exchange and the preeminent trading forum for energy and precious metals, with trading conducted through two divisions – the NYMEX Division, home to the energy, platinum, and palladium markets, and the COMEX Division, on which all other metals trade. Additional risks are associated with international investing, such as currency fluctuations, political and economic instability and differences in accounting standards. This material represents an assessment of the market environment at a specific point in time and is not intended to be a forecast of future events, or a guarantee of future results. MarketingPro, Inc. is not affiliated with any person or firm that may be providing this information to you. The publisher is not engaged in rendering legal, accounting or other professional services. If assistance is needed, the reader is advised to engage the services of a competent professional.

CITATIONS:

1 – tinyurl.com/y72kqpoj [11/2/18]

2 – investing.com/economic-calendar/ [10/24/18]

3 – briefing.com/investor/calendars/economic/2018/10/29-02 [11/2/18]

4 – markets.wsj.com/us [11/2/18]

5 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=11%2F2%2F17&x=0&y=0 [11/2/18]

5 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=11%2F2%2F17&x=0&y=0 [11/2/18]

5 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=11%2F2%2F17&x=0&y=0 [11/2/18]

5 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=11%2F1%2F13&x=0&y=0 [11/2/18]

5 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=11%2F1%2F13&x=0&y=0 [11/2/18]

5 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=11%2F1%2F13&x=0&y=0 [11/2/18]

5 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=11%2F3%2F08&x=0&y=0 [11/2/18]

5 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=11%2F3%2F08&x=0&y=0 [11/2/18]

5 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=11%2F3%2F08&x=0&y=0 [11/2/18]
6 – treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=realyield [11/2/18]
7 – treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=realyieldAll [11/2/18]   

WEEKLY ECONOMIC UPDATE – October 29, 2018

WEEKLY ECONOMIC UPDATE – October 29, 2018

In this week’s recap: a first-rate Q3 GDP reading, mixed housing indicators, slightly weaker household sentiment, and a significant retreat for equities.

Weekly Economic Update | Presented by Tim Flick | October 29, 2018

FIRST ESTIMATE OF Q3 GDP: 3.5%

A 4.0% gain in consumer spending and a 3.3% advance in government spending helped strengthen the economy in the three months ending in September. Bureau of Economic Analysis data shows that the past two quarters represent the best 6-month period for U.S. growth since 2014. It appears likely that the economy will expand more than 3% this year; if that happens, 2018 will enter the history books as the best year for the economy since 2005. 1

NEW HOME SALES SLUMP, BUT PENDING HOME SALES IMPROVE

According to the Census Bureau, new home buying decreased 5.5% last month, even as the number of new homes on the market hit a nine-and-a-half-year high. The median sale price of $320,000 was 3.5% lower than it was in September 2017. Pending home sales surprised to the upside in September: they rose 0.5%. Economists polled by Briefing.com expected the National Association of Realtors to announce a housing contract activity decline of 0.3%. 2,3

A SLIGHT DIP FOR CONSUMER SENTIMENT

Friday, the final University of Michigan consumer sentiment index for October appeared, bearing a reading of 98.6. This was 0.4 points below its preliminary October mark, but little cause for concern. 3

MORE TURBULENCE ON WALL STREET

Investors would love to see the major indices recapture some of their October losses, and perhaps that will happen as the month ends. The Dow Industrials, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite all retreated significantly last week after five days of sizable ups and downs, as anxieties about reduced profit margins and rising interest rates lingered. The blue chips gave back 2.97% to settle at 24,688.31 Friday. Losing 3.78% for the week, the Nasdaq fell to 7,167.21 at Friday’s closing bell; across the same stretch, the S&P 500 slipped 3.94% to 2,658.69. 4

T I P   O F   T H E   W E E K

If you have adult children living with you, it is perfectly fine to ask them to shoulder some financial responsibility in your household. Ask them to regularly pay one expense a month (such as the electric bill) or have them pay rent

THIS WEEK
Monday, the Department of Commerce presents its snapshot of September personal spending, and the September PCE price index appears; investors will also consider earnings from Akamai, Blackbaud, Bloomin’ Brands, Booz Allen Hamilton, Embraer, Mondelez, Nautilus, Transocean, U.S. Auto Parts, and Wingstop. | Tuesday, Wall Street reviews earnings from Aetna, Allergan PLC, Amgen, Anadarko Petroleum, AutoNation, Baidu, Baker Hughes, Big 5 Sporting Goods, BP, Brinker International, Coca-Cola, Container Store, Cummins, Curtiss Wright, Denny’s, Eaton, eBay, Edison International, Electronic Arts, Extra Space Storage, Facebook, Fiat Chrysler, Fresh Del Monte Produce, GE, Genworth Financial, Herbalife, Honda Motor Co., Huntsman, Hyatt Hotels, Mastercard, MGM Resorts, Pfizer, Public Storage, Regis Corp., Sony, Under Armour, Voya Financial, Vulcan Materials, Waddell & Reed, WestJet, and Wyndham Hotels & Resorts; the latest Conference Board consumer confidence index and Case-Shiller home price index also arrive. | On Wednesday, the corporations announcing earnings include Air Canada, Allstate, AIG, Anthem, Chesapeake Energy, Clorox, Diebold Nixdorf, Estee Lauder, Express Scripts, Fitbit, Garmin, General Motors, GlaxoSmithKline, Kellogg, Molson Coors, Sprint, Taylor Morrison, Yum! Brands, and Zynga, and ADP releases its September payrolls report. | The October ISM manufacturing PMI comes out Thursday, along with the September Challenger job-cut report, the latest initial unemployment claims numbers, and earnings from AMC Networks, Apple, Arcelor Mittal, Avon, CBRE Group, CBS, Cigna, Cirrus Logic, DowDuPont, Exelon, Fluor, GoPro, Hanesbrands, Kraft Heinz, Live Nation, Marathon Petroleum, MetLife, Motorola Solutions, Pitney Bowes, RE/MAX Holdings, Royal Dutch Shell, Shake Shack, Spotify, Starbucks, Symantec, U.S. Steel, Wayfair, and WW. | Friday, the Department of Labor issues its October employment report, and Alibaba, Chevron, Duke Energy, Enbridge, Exxon Mobil, Seagate Technology, and Willis Towers Watson offer earnings news.

Q U O T E  O F  T H E  W E E K

Education is the ability to listen to almost anything without losing your temper or your self-confidence.”

robert frost

% CHANGE Y-T-D 1-YR CHG 5-YR AVG 10-YR AVG
DJIA -0.13 5.50 11.71 20.20
NASDAQ 3.82 9.31 16.35 37.59
S&P 500 -0.56 3.84 10.22 21.32
REAL YIELD 10/26 RATE 1 YR AGO 5 YRS AGO 10 YRS AGO
10 YR TIPS 1.02 0.57 0.35 3.02

Sources: wsj.com, bigcharts.com, tre asury.gov – 10/26/18 4,5,6,7
Indices are unmanaged, do not incur fees or expenses, and cannot be invested into directly. These returns do not include dividends. 10-year TIPS real yield = projected return at maturity given expected inflation.

T H E   W E E K L Y   R I D D L E

In a thousand years , you will never find it. In a minute , you will notice it once. In a moment , you will see it twice. What is it?

 

LAST WEEK’S RIDDLE: It is removed from mines outside the U.S., then encased in wood, never to be released. Even so, it is still used by millions. What is it?

ANSWER: Graphite (pencil lead).

Tim Flick may be reached at 317-947-7047 or tflick@cornerfi.com www.cornerfi.com

Know someone who could use information like this?
Please feel free send us their contact information via phone or email. (Don’t worry – we’ll request their permission before adding them to our mailing list.)

Investment Advisor Representative, Cambridge Investment Research Advisors, Inc., a Registered Investment Advisor. Registered Representative, Securities offered through Cambridge Investment Research, Inc., a Broker/Dealer, Member FINRA/SIPC. Cambridge and Cornerstone Financial Advisory are not affiliated. This message distributed via use of the MarketingPro system.

This material was prepared by MarketingPro, Inc., and does not necessarily represent the views of the presenting party, nor their affiliates. The information herein has been derived from sources believed to be accurate. Please note – investing involves risk, and past performance is no guarantee of future results. Investments will fluctuate and when redeemed may be worth more or less than when originally invested. This information should not be construed as investment, tax or legal advice and may not be relied on for the purpose of avoiding any Federal tax penalty. This is neither a solicitation nor recommendation to purchase or sell any investment or insurance product or service, and should not be relied upon as such. All market indices discussed are unmanaged and are not illustrative of any particular investment. Indices do not incur management fees, costs and expenses, and cannot be invested into directly. All economic and performance data is historical and not indicative of future results. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted index of 30 actively traded blue-chip stocks. The NASDAQ Composite Index is a market-weighted index of all over-the-counter common stocks traded on the National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotation System. The Standard & Poor’s 500 (S&P 500) is a market-cap weighted index composed of the common stocks of 500 leading companies in leading industries of the U.S. economy. NYSE Group, Inc. (NYSE:NYX) operates two securities exchanges: the New York Stock Exchange (the “NYSE”) and NYSE Arca (formerly known as the Archipelago Exchange, or ArcaEx®, and the Pacific Exchange). NYSE Group is a leading provider of securities listing, trading and market data products and services. The New York Mercantile Exchange, Inc. (NYMEX) is the world’s largest physical commodity futures exchange and the preeminent trading forum for energy and precious metals, with trading conducted through two divisions – the NYMEX Division, home to the energy, platinum, and palladium markets, and the COMEX Division, on which all other metals trade. Additional risks are associated with international investing, such as currency fluctuations, political and economic instability and differences in accounting standards. This material represents an assessment of the market environment at a specific point in time and is not intended to be a forecast of future events, or a guarantee of future results. MarketingPro, Inc. is not affiliated with any person or firm that may be providing this information to you. The publisher is not engaged in rendering legal, accounting or other professional services. If assistance is needed, the reader is advised to engage the services of a competent professional.

CITATIONS:

1 – marketwatch.com/story/third-quarter-gdp-cools-a-bit-to-a-still-solid-35-rate-2018-10-26 [10/26/18]

2 – bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-10-24/u-s-new-home-sales-fall-more-than-forecast-to-least-since-2016 [10/24/18]

3 – briefing.com/investor/calendars/economic/2018/10/22-26 [10/26/18]

4 – markets.wsj.com/us [10/26/18]

5 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=10%2F26%2F17&x=0&y=0 [10/26/18]

5 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=10%2F26%2F17&x=0&y=0 [10/26/18]

5 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=10%2F26%2F17&x=0&y=0 [10/26/18]

5 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=10%2F25%2F13&x=0&y=0 [10/26/18]

5 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=10%2F25%2F13&x=0&y=0 [10/26/18]

5 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=10%2F25%2F13&x=0&y=0 [10/26/18]

5 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=10%2F27%2F08&x=0&y=0 [10/26/18]
5 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=10%2F27%2F08&x=0&y=0 [10/26/18]
5 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=10%2F27%2F08&x=0&y=0 [10/26/18]
6 – treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=realyield [10/26/18]
7 – treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=realyieldAll [10/26/18]      

WEEKLY ECONOMIC UPDATE – October 22, 2018

WEEKLY ECONOMIC UPDATE – October 22, 2018

In this week’s recap: home sales lag, retail sales barely improve, new Fed minutes discuss staying the course, and major equity indices advance.

Weekly Economic Update | Presented by Tim Flick | October 22, 2018

HOMES MOVE AT THE SLOWEST PACE IN 3 YEARS

Existing home sales slumped 3.4% in September as the annualized sales rate decelerated to a degree unseen since November 2015. In reporting this, the National Association of Realtors cited the usual factors: climbing mortgage rates, tight inventory, and ascending prices (the median sale price in September was $258,100, up 4.2% in 12 months). The NAR’s chief economist, Lawrence Yun, now projects a 1.6% reduction in resales for 2018; economists at Fannie Mae are forecasting a 2.0% retreat. In other real estate news, the Census Bureau said that housing starts fell 5.3% last month, while building permits declined 0.6%. 1,2

     

AGAIN, RETAIL SALES RISE JUST 0.1%

The Census Bureau said that the overall gain for September matched that of August. With fuel and auto sales factored out, retail sales were flat last month. Core sales retreated 0.1%. 2

    

FED MINUTES NOTE POSSIBILITY OF FURTHER GRADUAL RATE HIKES

The Federal Reserve released minutes from its September policy meeting Thursday, and they relayed the consensus opinion that a “gradual approach” to tightening monetary policy will be warranted if inflation, labor, and GDP readings keep indicating a thriving economy. Policymakers noted that raising rates too quickly could prompt “an abrupt slowing in the economy and inflation moving below the committee’s objective.” Then again, the minutes also acknowledged “the risk of moving too slowly, which could engender inflation persistently above the objective and possibly contribute to a buildup of financial imbalances.” 3

    

A POSITIVE WEEK FOR EQUITIES

All three major Wall Street benchmarks advanced last week. The S&P 500 registered the smallest gain, adding just 0.02% as it reached 2,767.78. Improving 0.41% for the week, the Dow Jones Industrial Average settled at 25,444.34. Rising 1.64% in five trading days, the Nasdaq Composite ended the week at 7,449.03. 4

T I P   O F   T H E   W E E K

As a small business grows, a relationship with a good tax professional becomes vital. A thorough tax professional can help you file correctly and see that you take the deductions to which you are legally entitled.

THIS WEEK
Monday’s earnings calendar lists announcements from Halliburton, Hasbro, Kimberly-Clark, Lennox International, Sify, TD Ameritrade, and Zions Bancorp. | On Tuesday, earnings roll in from 3M, Ameriprise Financial, Avery Dennison, Biogen, Capital One, Caterpillar, Corning, Fifth Third, GATX, Harley-Davidson, JetBlue, Lockheed Martin, McDonald’s, NextEra Energy, Pulte Group, Quest Diagnostics, Regions Financial, Six Flags Entertainment, Texas Instruments, and Verizon. | Wall Street considers September new home sales data and a new Beige Book from the Federal Reserve on Wednesday, along with earnings from Aflac, AT&T, Boeing, CoreLogic, Ford Motor Co., Freeport-McMoRan, General Dynamics, Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Ingersoll Rand, Microsoft, Norfolk Southern, Northrop Grumman, O’Reilly Auto Parts, Raymond James, Sirius XM Holdings, Smith Micro, Visa, Whirlpool, and W.R. Grace. | Thursday, investors react to earnings from Alaska Air Group, Ally Financial, Alphabet, Altria Group, Amazon, American Airlines, Anheuser-Busch, Briggs & Stratton, Bristol-Myers, Celgene, Chipotle, Comcast, Conoco-Phillips, Discover, Dunkin’ Brands, Expedia, First Solar, Gilead Sciences, GrubHub, Hershey Co., IMAX, Intel, International Paper, Mattel, Merck, Netgear, Nokia, Penske Auto Group, Raytheon, Sherwin-Williams, Snap, Southwest Airlines, Stanley Black & Decker, Stryker, T. Rowe Price, The Hartford, Twitter, Union Pacific, Valero Energy, Verisign, Waste Management, and Western Digital, plus new initial jobless claims numbers, September pending home sales, and a new report on durable goods orders. | The federal government’s first estimate of Q3 GDP arrives Friday along with the final September University of Michigan consumer sentiment index and earnings announcements from AON, Charter Communications, Colgate-Palmolive, Goodyear, Phillips 66, Ryder Systems, and Weyerhaeuser.

Q U O T E  O F  T H E  W E E K

“The way you overcome shyness is to become so wrapped up in something that you forget to be afraid.”

lady bird johnson

% CHANGE Y-T-D 1-YR CHG 5-YR AVG 10-YR AVG
DJIA 2.93 9.85 13.05 17.46
NASDAQ 7.90 12.78 18.06 32.08
S&P 500 3.52 8.03 11.73 18.09
REAL YIELD (%) 10/19 RATE 1 YR AGO 5 YRS AGO 10 YRS AGO
10 YR TIPS 1.09 0.49 0.42 2.76

Sources: wsj.com, bigcharts.com, tre asury.gov – 10/19/18 4,5,6,7

Indices are unmanaged, do not incur fees or expenses, and cannot be invested into directly. These returns do not include dividends. 10-year TIPS real yield = projected return at maturity given expected inflation.

T H E   W E E K L Y   R I D D L E

It is removed from mines outside the U.S., then encased in wood , never to be released. Even so, it is still  used by millions. What is it? 

LAST WEEK’S RIDDLE: It gives you information and control, and without it, no work can be done – yet it costs you nothing. What is it?

ANSWER: Your brain.

Tim Flick may be reached at 317-947-7047 or tflick@cornerfi.com www.cornerfi.com

Know someone who could use information like this?
Please feel free send us their contact information via phone or email. (Don’t worry – we’ll request their permission before adding them to our mailing list.)

Investment Advisor Representative, Cambridge Investment Research Advisors, Inc., a Registered Investment Advisor. Registered Representative, Securities offered through Cambridge Investment Research, Inc., a Broker/Dealer, Member FINRA/SIPC. Cambridge and Cornerstone Financial Advisory are not affiliated. This message distributed via use of the MarketingPro system.

This material was prepared by MarketingPro, Inc., and does not necessarily represent the views of the presenting party, nor their affiliates. The information herein has been derived from sources believed to be accurate. Please note – investing involves risk, and past performance is no guarantee of future results. Investments will fluctuate and when redeemed may be worth more or less than when originally invested. This information should not be construed as investment, tax or legal advice and may not be relied on for the purpose of avoiding any Federal tax penalty. This is neither a solicitation nor recommendation to purchase or sell any investment or insurance product or service, and should not be relied upon as such. All market indices discussed are unmanaged and are not illustrative of any particular investment. Indices do not incur management fees, costs and expenses, and cannot be invested into directly. All economic and performance data is historical and not indicative of future results. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted index of 30 actively traded blue-chip stocks. The NASDAQ Composite Index is a market-weighted index of all over-the-counter common stocks traded on the National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotation System. The Standard & Poor’s 500 (S&P 500) is a market-cap weighted index composed of the common stocks of 500 leading companies in leading industries of the U.S. economy. NYSE Group, Inc. (NYSE:NYX) operates two securities exchanges: the New York Stock Exchange (the “NYSE”) and NYSE Arca (formerly known as the Archipelago Exchange, or ArcaEx®, and the Pacific Exchange). NYSE Group is a leading provider of securities listing, trading and market data products and services. The New York Mercantile Exchange, Inc. (NYMEX) is the world’s largest physical commodity futures exchange and the preeminent trading forum for energy and precious metals, with trading conducted through two divisions – the NYMEX Division, home to the energy, platinum, and palladium markets, and the COMEX Division, on which all other metals trade. Additional risks are associated with international investing, such as currency fluctuations, political and economic instability and differences in accounting standards. This material represents an assessment of the market environment at a specific point in time and is not intended to be a forecast of future events, or a guarantee of future results. MarketingPro, Inc. is not affiliated with any person or firm that may be providing this information to you. The publisher is not engaged in rendering legal, accounting or other professional services. If assistance is needed, the reader is advised to engage the services of a competent professional.

CITATIONS:

1 – marketwatch.com/story/existing-home-sales-slump-to-a-near-3-year-low-as-buyers-back-out-2018-10-19 [10/19/18]

2 – investing.com/economic-calendar/ [10/19/18]

3 – tickertape.tdameritrade.com/market-news/investors-seem-to-continue-digesting-fed-minutes-17062 [10/18/18]

4 – markets.wsj.com/us [10/19/18]

5 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=10%2F19%2F17&x=0&y=0 [10/19/18]

5 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=10%2F19%2F17&x=0&y=0 [10/19/18]

5 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=10%2F19%2F17&x=0&y=0 [10/19/18]

5 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=10%2F18%2F13&x=0&y=0 [10/19/18]

5 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=10%2F18%2F13&x=0&y=0 [10/19/18]

5 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=10%2F18%2F13&x=0&y=0 [10/19/18]

5 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=10%2F20%2F08&x=0&y=0 [10/19/18]
5 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=10%2F20%2F08&x=0&y=0 [10/19/18]

5 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=10%2F20%2F08&x=0&y=0 [10/19/18]
6 – treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=realyield [10/19/18]
7 – treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=realyieldAll [10/19/18]   

WEEKLY ECONOMIC UPDATE – October 15, 2018

WEEKLY ECONOMIC UPDATE – October 15, 2018

In this week’s recap: more downward pressure on equities, retiree incomes get a boost, yearly inflation declines, and consumer sentiment misses expectations.

Weekly Economic Update | Presented by Tim Flick | October 15, 2018

UNCERTAINTY BREEDS SELLING, FOLLOWED BY A RELIEF RALLY

On Friday, Wall Street rebounded from a disquieting slump that saw the blue chips take an almost 1,400 point dive. The S&P 500 gained 1.42% to snap a 6-session losing streak, the Nasdaq Composite rose 2.29% to fight back from a correction, and the Dow rose 1.15%. A new earnings season may take investors’ minds off the insecurities they have felt recently about bond yields, tariffs, and interest rate hikes. Those uncertainties weighed on equities again this past week: the Dow fell 4.19% to 25,339.99; the S&P, 4.10% to 2,767.13; the Nasdaq, 4.86% to 7,496.89. Small caps had it worse than the big three last week: the Russell 2000 lost 5.23%. 1,2

   

INFLATION SOFTENED LAST MONTH

Advancing only 0.1% for September, the headline Consumer Price Index showed a yearly gain of 2.3%, quite a contrast from the 2.9% increase measured in July. The core CPI also advanced 0.1%, and its 12-month gain was unchanged at 2.2%. If further deceleration in the annual inflation rate occurs, that might give the Federal Reserve some pause. 3

   

A LITTLE LESS CONFIDENCE ON MAIN STREET

The latest University of Michigan consumer sentiment index fell short of the heights forecast by economists surveyed by Briefing.com. They expected a preliminary October reading of 100.0. Instead, the index fell to 99.0, 1.1 points below its final September mark. 4

   

SOCIAL SECURITY BENEFITS WILL GROW 2.8% IN 2019

Retirees will soon see a boost in their Social Security payments. Thursday, the Social Security Administration announced that retirement benefits will receive their largest cost-of-living adjustment (COLA) since 2012 next year. The improvement will lift the average monthly payment to an individual from $1,422 to $1,461. The mean monthly payment to a retired couple will rise from $2,381 to $2,448. 5

   

T I P   O F   T H E   W E E K


Looking for more money to save or invest?  You may find it by eating out less. If you spend $300 a month eating out, you could lower that to $100 a month and free up $2,400 a year to put into a retirement account or emergency fund.

THIS WEEK

On Monday, Bank of America reports Q3 results and the Census Bureau releases its latest monthly retail sales snapshot. | BlackRock, Comerica, CSX, Del Taco, Domino’s, J.B. Hunt, IBM, Infosys, Johnson & Johnson, Morgan Stanley, Netflix, UnitedHealth, and W.W. Grainger all announce earnings Tuesday. | Minutes from the Federal Reserve’s September policy meeting surface Wednesday, along with data on September housing starts and building permits and earnings from Abbott Labs, Alcoa, Kaiser Aluminum, Kinder Morgan, Northern Trust, Union Bank, U.S. Bank, United Rentals, and Winnebago. | American Express, Bank of New York Mellon, BB&T, Blackstone Group, Celanese, E*Trade, KeyCorp, Novartis, Nucor, PayPal, Philip Morris, Snap-On, Sonoco, Textron, Travelers Companies, and WD40 present earnings Thursday, when the latest initial jobless claims figures also appear. | Friday, Honeywell, Manpower, Procter & Gamble, Schlumberger, State Street, SunTrust, VF Corporation, and Volvo offer earnings news, and September existing home sales data emerges from the National Association of Realtors.

Q U O T E  O F  T H E  W E E K

“The most important thing in life is to learn   how to give out love  and how to let it come in.

MITCH ALBOM

% CHANGE Y-T-D 1-YR CHG 5-YR AVG 10-YR AVG
DJIA 2.51 10.94 13.26 16.99
NASDAQ 8.60 13.73 19.54 30.65
S&P 500 3.50 8.48 12.49 17.58
REAL YIELD (%) 10/12 RATE 1 YR AGO 5 YRS AGO 10 YRS AGO
10 YR TIPS 1.03 0.44 0.50 2.97

Sources: wsj.com, bigcharts.com, treasury.gov – 10/12 /18 2,6,7,8

Indices are unmanaged, do not incur fees or expenses, and cannot be invested into directly. These returns do not include dividends. 10-year TIPS real yield = projected return at maturity given expected inflation.

T H E   W E E K L Y   R I D D L E

It gives you information and control , and without it, no work can be done – yet it costs you nothing. What is it?

 

LAST WEEK’S RIDDLE: They can pass through state after state, all while never moving. What are they?

ANSWER: Interstate highways.

Tim Flick may be reached at 317-947-7047 or tflick@cornerfi.com www.cornerfi.com

Know someone who could use information like this?
Please feel free send us their contact information via phone or email. (Don’t worry – we’ll request their permission before adding them to our mailing list.)

Investment Advisor Representative, Cambridge Investment Research Advisors, Inc., a Registered Investment Advisor. Registered Representative, Securities offered through Cambridge Investment Research, Inc., a Broker/Dealer, Member FINRA/SIPC. Cambridge and Cornerstone Financial Advisory are not affiliated. This message distributed via use of the MarketingPro system.

This material was prepared by MarketingPro, Inc., and does not necessarily represent the views of the presenting party, nor their affiliates. The information herein has been derived from sources believed to be accurate. Please note – investing involves risk, and past performance is no guarantee of future results. Investments will fluctuate and when redeemed may be worth more or less than when originally invested. This information should not be construed as investment, tax or legal advice and may not be relied on for the purpose of avoiding any Federal tax penalty. This is neither a solicitation nor recommendation to purchase or sell any investment or insurance product or service, and should not be relied upon as such. All market indices discussed are unmanaged and are not illustrative of any particular investment. Indices do not incur management fees, costs and expenses, and cannot be invested into directly. All economic and performance data is historical and not indicative of future results. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted index of 30 actively traded blue-chip stocks. The NASDAQ Composite Index is a market-weighted index of all over-the-counter common stocks traded on the National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotation System. The Standard & Poor’s 500 (S&P 500) is a market-cap weighted index composed of the common stocks of 500 leading companies in leading industries of the U.S. economy. NYSE Group, Inc. (NYSE:NYX) operates two securities exchanges: the New York Stock Exchange (the “NYSE”) and NYSE Arca (formerly known as the Archipelago Exchange, or ArcaEx®, and the Pacific Exchange). NYSE Group is a leading provider of securities listing, trading and market data products and services. The New York Mercantile Exchange, Inc. (NYMEX) is the world’s largest physical commodity futures exchange and the preeminent trading forum for energy and precious metals, with trading conducted through two divisions – the NYMEX Division, home to the energy, platinum, and palladium markets, and the COMEX Division, on which all other metals trade. Additional risks are associated with international investing, such as currency fluctuations, political and economic instability and differences in accounting standards. This material represents an assessment of the market environment at a specific point in time and is not intended to be a forecast of future events, or a guarantee of future results. MarketingPro, Inc. is not affiliated with any person or firm that may be providing this information to you. The publisher is not engaged in rendering legal, accounting or other professional services. If assistance is needed, the reader is advised to engage the services of a competent professional.

CITATIONS:

1 – thestreet.com/markets/stocks-on-wall-street-rebound-friday-14742963 [10/12/18]

2 – markets.wsj.com/us [10/12/18]

3 – marketwatch.com/story/housing-costs-nudge-inflation-higher-in-september-cpi-shows-2018-10-11 [10/11/18]

4 – briefing.com/investor/calendars/economic/2018/10/08-12 [10/12/18]

5 – kiplinger.com/article/retirement/T051-C001-S001-social-security-benefits-to-increase-in-2019.html [10/11/18]

6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=10%2F12%2F17&x=0&y=0 [10/12/18]

6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=10%2F12%2F17&x=0&y=0 [10/12/18]

6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=10%2F12%2F17&x=0&y=0 [10/12/18]

6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=10%2F11%2F13&x=0&y=0 [10/12/18]

6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=10%2F11%2F13&x=0&y=0 [10/12/18]

6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=10%2F11%2F13&x=0&y=0 [10/12/18]

6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=10%2F13%2F08&x=0&y=0 [10/12/18]
6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=10%2F13%2F08&x=0&y=0 [10/12/18]
6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=10%2F13%2F08&x=0&y=0 [10/12/18]

7 – treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=realyield [10/12/18]

8 – treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=realyieldAll [10/12/18]