Weekly Economic Update – August 17, 2020

Weekly Economic Update – August 17, 2020

In this week’s recap: stocks rise, and consumer prices jump; COVID-19 cases slow; Congressional talks stall.

Weekly Economic Update

Presented by Cornerstone Financial Advisory, LLC, August 17, 2020


THE WEEK ON WALL STREET

Stock prices drifted higher in an otherwise quiet news week, as a slowdown in new COVID-19 cases outweighed a Congressional impasse on a new fiscal spending measure.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 1.81%, while the Standard & Poor’s 500 rose by 0.64%. The Nasdaq Composite Index inched 0.08% higher for the week. The MSCI EAFE Index, which tracks developed stock markets overseas, advanced 3.11%.1,2,3

S&P 500 Nears All-Time High

Stocks prices were supported by a falling rate of COVID-19 cases nationwide and optimism that – despite a lack of progress on a fiscal aid bill – Congress would eventually come to a spending agreement.4

The industrial and financial sectors saw solid gains, while technology stocks, after slipping earlier in the week, found some footing as the week came to a close.

The S&P 500 Index flirted all week with setting a new record high. At one point on Thursday, it traded above its February 2020 record close before closing slightly lower. Stocks treaded water into Friday, as Congress recessed for the summer.5

Consumer Prices Jump

On Wednesday, the Labor Department said that the Consumer Price Index rose 0.6% in July, matching the 0.6% increase in June. The increase was double the consensus estimate of 0.3%. The general view is that the acceleration in consumer prices is more indicative of a healing economy than the beginning of a cycle of higher inflation.6,7

 

The Fed does not appear concerned about these recent monthly price jumps. It remains more worried about disinflation. However, if inflation continues to pick up, the Fed may be forced to reconsider its COVID-19 monetary policy.8


 

T I P   O F   T H E   W E E K

Is your business structured to limit your liability? Your financial professional may be able to provide some insights about what business structures to consider.


 

THE WEEK AHEAD: KEY ECONOMIC DATA

Tuesday: Housing Starts.

Wednesday: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Minutes.

Thursday: Jobless Claims. Index of Leading Economic Indicators.

Friday: Existing Home Sales.

Source: Econoday, August 14, 2020

The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S. economic data releases (including key economic indicators), Federal Reserve policy meetings, and speaking engagements of Federal Reserve officials. The content is developed from sources believed to be providing accurate information. The forecasts or forward-looking statements are based on assumptions and may not materialize. The forecasts also are subject to revision.

 

THE WEEK AHEAD: COMPANIES REPORTING EARNINGS

Monday: JD.com (JD).

Tuesday: Walmart (WMT), The Home Depot (HD), Kohls (KSS).

Wednesday: Nvidia (NVDA), Target (TGT), Lowe’s (LOW).

Thursday: Alibaba Group (BABA).

Friday: John Deere (DE).

Source: Zacks, August 14, 2020

Companies mentioned are for informational purposes only. It should not be considered a solicitation for the purchase or sale of the securities. Investing involves risks, and investment decisions should be based on your own goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk. The return and principal value of investments will fluctuate as market conditions change. When sold, investments may be worth more or less than their original cost. Companies may reschedule when they report earnings without notice.


 

Q U O T E   O F   T H E   W E E K

“Wise men make more opportunities than they find.”

SIR FRANCIS BACON



T H E   W E E K L Y   R I D D L E

What number should be next in this series: 9, 16, 25, 36?

 

LAST WEEK’S RIDDLE: Nancy was born in summer, yet she was born in January. How is this possible?

ANSWER: She was born in the southern hemisphere.


 Investing involves risks, and investment decisions should be based on your own goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk. The return and principal value of investments will fluctuate as market conditions change. When sold, investments may be worth more or less than their original cost.

The forecasts or forward-looking statements are based on assumptions, may not materialize, and are subject to revision without notice.

The market indexes discussed are unmanaged, and generally, considered representative of their respective markets. Index performance is not indicative of the past performance of a particular investment. Indexes do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses. Individuals cannot directly invest in unmanaged indexes. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average is an unmanaged index that is generally considered representative of large-capitalization companies on the U.S. stock market. Nasdaq Composite is an index of the common stocks and similar securities listed on the Nasdaq stock market and is considered a broad indicator of the performance of technology and growth companies. The MSCI EAFE Index was created by Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) and serves as a benchmark of the performance of major international equity markets, as represented by 21 major MSCI indexes from Europe, Australia, and Southeast Asia. The S&P 500 Composite Index is an unmanaged group of securities that are considered to be representative of the stock market in general.

U.S. Treasury Notes are guaranteed by the federal government as to the timely payment of principal and interest. However, if you sell a Treasury Note prior to maturity, it may be worth more or less than the original price paid. Fixed income investments are subject to various risks including changes in interest rates, credit quality, inflation risk, market valuations, prepayments, corporate events, tax ramifications and other factors.

International investments carry additional risks, which include differences in financial reporting standards, currency exchange rates, political risks unique to a specific country, foreign taxes and regulations, and the potential for illiquid markets. These factors may result in greater share price volatility.

Please consult your financial professional for additional information.

This content is developed from sources believed to be providing accurate information. The information in this material is not intended as tax or legal advice. Please consult legal or tax professionals for specific information regarding your individual situation. This material was developed and produced by FMG Suite to provide information on a topic that may be of interest. FMG is not affiliated with the named representative, financial professional, Registered Investment Advisor, Broker-Dealer, nor state- or SEC-registered investment advisory firm. The opinions expressed and material provided are for general information, and they should not be considered a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security.

Copyright 2020 FMG Suite.

CITATIONS:

  1. The Wall Street Journal, August 14, 2020
    2. The Wall Street Journal, August 14, 2020
    3. The Wall Street Journal, August 14, 2020
    4. CNBC, August 12, 2020
    5. CNBC, August 13, 2020
    6. The Wall Street Journal, August 12, 2020
    7. The Wall Street Journal, August 12, 2020
    8. CNBC, August 12, 2020

CHART CITATIONS:

The Wall Street Journal, August 14, 2020
The Wall Street Journal, August 14, 2020
treasury.gov, August 14, 2020

Copyright © 2024
Cornerstone Financial Advisory, LLC

Weekly Economic Update – August 17, 2020

Weekly Economic Update – August 10, 2020

In this week’s recap: Stocks rise as earnings season winds to an end; no results in fiscal stimulus talks.

Weekly Economic Update

Presented by Cornerstone Financial Advisory, LLC, August 10, 2020


THE WEEK ON WALL STREET

Overlooking stalled efforts by Congress to pass a new fiscal stimulus bill, stocks marched higher last week with the Dow Jones Industrials leading the way and the NASDAQ Composite setting multiple fresh record highs.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 3.80%, while the Standard & Poor’s 500 rose by 2.45%. The Nasdaq Composite index climbed 2.47% for the week. The MSCI EAFE index, which tracks developed overseas stock markets, advanced 2.31%.1-3

Earnings Season Winds Down

A string of encouraging news reports, including a decline in new COVID-19 cases nationwide, pushed stock prices higher throughout the week. Stocks also rallied on signs of a pick-up in manufacturing activity, factory orders that came in well above estimates, and a better-than-expected new jobless claims number.4,5

Congress wasn’t able to come to an agreement on a stimulus package, which disappointed some investors. But it wasn’t enough to slow the daily climb in the equity markets, with the NASDAQ Composite index closing above 11,000 for the first time, while the S&P 500 index closed in on its record high set in February of this year.6

Stocks drifted on Friday even though the employment report showed that employers added 1.8 million jobs in July, lowering the unemployment rate to 10.2%.7

One Eye on Bonds, Gold

The continued rally in stock prices appears to suggest that the U.S. economy may maintain its recovery through the second half of the year and into 2021. But the bond market and gold prices suggest a different outlook.

Last week the yield on 10-year Treasuries touched their lowest level since early March, signaling that bond investors may be less convinced about economic prospects.8

Meanwhile, gold traded over $2,000 per ounce. While the rise in gold prices this year has been largely propelled by historically low interest rates, its reputation as a store of value has attracted investors worried about stock market volatility and a potential uptick in inflation.9

FINAL Thoughts

It was reported last week that the U.S. and China agreed to meet by videoconference on August 15 to discuss compliance with the terms of the Phase One trade deal.10

With tensions running high between the two nations, expect Wall Street to keep a close eye on any developments that may appear connected to the virtual meeting.


T I P   O F   T H E   W E E K

If a major financial or life event is coming up on your calendar, talk to a financial professional about it now. See what ideas they may have about how to manage the event.


 THE WEEK AHEAD: KEY ECONOMIC DATA

Monday: Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS).

Wednesday: Consumer Price Index (CPI).

Thursday: Jobless Claims.

Friday: Retail Sales. Industrial Production. Consumer Sentiment.

Source: Econoday, August 7, 2020

The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S. economic data releases (including key economic indicators), Federal Reserve policy meetings, and speaking engagements of Federal Reserve officials. The content is developed from sources believed to be providing accurate information. The forecasts or forward-looking statements are based on assumptions and may not materialize. The forecasts also are subject to revision.

 

THE WEEK AHEAD: COMPANIES REPORTING EARNINGS

Monday: Marriott International (MAR).

Wednesday: Cisco Systems (CSCO), Tencent Holdings (TCEHY), Lyft (LYFT).

Friday: Draftkings (DKNG).

Source: Zacks, August 7, 2020

Companies mentioned are for informational purposes only. It should not be considered a solicitation for the purchase or sale of the securities. Investing involves risks, and investment decisions should be based on your own goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk. The return and principal value of investments will fluctuate as market conditions change. When sold, investments may be worth more or less than their original cost. Companies may reschedule when they report earnings without notice.


Q U O T E   O F   T H E   W E E K

“Friendship marks a life even more deeply than love.”

ELIE WIESEL


 

 


T H E   W E E K L Y   R I D D L E

Nancy was born in summer, yet she was born in January. How is this possible?

 

LAST WEEK’S RIDDLE: You spend 20% of the money in your wallet. Then you spend 20% of what remains in your wallet after that. You spend $72.00 total. How much money did you originally have in your wallet?

ANSWER: $200. $200 – $40 = $160, then $160 – $32 = $128 with $72 of the original $200 spent.


 Investing involves risks, and investment decisions should be based on your own goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk. The return and principal value of investments will fluctuate as market conditions change. When sold, investments may be worth more or less than their original cost.

The forecasts or forward-looking statements are based on assumptions, may not materialize, and are subject to revision without notice.

The market indexes discussed are unmanaged, and generally, considered representative of their respective markets. Index performance is not indicative of the past performance of a particular investment. Indexes do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses. Individuals cannot directly invest in unmanaged indexes. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average is an unmanaged index that is generally considered representative of large-capitalization companies on the U.S. stock market. Nasdaq Composite is an index of the common stocks and similar securities listed on the Nasdaq stock market and is considered a broad indicator of the performance of technology and growth companies. The MSCI EAFE Index was created by Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) and serves as a benchmark of the performance of major international equity markets, as represented by 21 major MSCI indexes from Europe, Australia, and Southeast Asia. The S&P 500 Composite Index is an unmanaged group of securities that are considered to be representative of the stock market in general.

U.S. Treasury Notes are guaranteed by the federal government as to the timely payment of principal and interest. However, if you sell a Treasury Note prior to maturity, it may be worth more or less than the original price paid. Fixed income investments are subject to various risks including changes in interest rates, credit quality, inflation risk, market valuations, prepayments, corporate events, tax ramifications and other factors.

International investments carry additional risks, which include differences in financial reporting standards, currency exchange rates, political risks unique to a specific country, foreign taxes and regulations, and the potential for illiquid markets. These factors may result in greater share price volatility.

Please consult your financial professional for additional information.

This content is developed from sources believed to be providing accurate information. The information in this material is not intended as tax or legal advice. Please consult legal or tax professionals for specific information regarding your individual situation. This material was developed and produced by FMG Suite to provide information on a topic that may be of interest. FMG is not affiliated with the named representative, financial professional, Registered Investment Advisor, Broker-Dealer, nor state- or SEC-registered investment advisory firm. The opinions expressed and material provided are for general information, and they should not be considered a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security.

Copyright 2020 FMG Suite.

CITATIONS:

  1. The Wall Street Journal, August 7, 2020
    2. The Wall Street Journal, August 7, 2020
    3. The Wall Street Journal, August 7, 2020
    4. MarketWatch.com, August 4, 2020
    5. The Wall Street Journal, August 6, 2020
    6. CNBC, August 6, 2020
    7. The Wall Street Journal, August 7, 2020
    8. MarketWatch, August 4, 2020
    9. The Wall Street Journal, August 5, 2020
    10. CNBC.com, August 4, 2020

CHART CITATIONS:

The Wall Street Journal, August 7, 2020
The Wall Street Journal, August 7, 2020
Treasury.gov, August 7, 2020

Copyright © 2024
Cornerstone Financial Advisory, LLC

Weekly Economic Update – August 17, 2020

Weekly Economic Update – August 3, 2020

In this week’s recap: stocks have a mixed reaction to earnings, economic data, and a potential stimulus.

Weekly Economic Update

Presented by Cornerstone Financial Advisory, LLC, August 3, 2020


 

THE WEEK ON WALL STREET

Stocks were mixed last week amid a busy week of earnings, some troubling economic data, and seemingly little progress on a new fiscal stimulus package.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 0.16%, while the Standard & Poor’s 500 increased by 1.73%. The Nasdaq Composite Index surged 3.69% for the week. The MSCI EAFE Index, which tracks developed stock markets overseas, dipped 0.75%.1,2,3

Stocks Buffeted by Crosswinds

Stocks rode a roller coaster last week, reacting to a conflicting stream of corporate events and economic data.

Investors were optimistic on Monday about the ability of mega-cap technology companies to thrive in an uncertain economy, but worried on Tuesday about pending Congressional testimony involving the CEOs of these firms.

On the economic front, a strong June durable goods orders report on Monday bolstered investor sentiment. But the optimism faded on a disappointing jobless claims number and a troubling second-quarter GDP number that – while anticipated – was a bit unsettling.4,5,6

Following some exceptional earnings results from the mega-cap technology companies, stocks managed to rally in the final hour of trading on Friday.

 

U.S. Dollar Continues Its Decline

Since peaking in mid-March, the U.S. dollar has dropped nearly 9%. Some of the potential beneficiaries of a weak dollar are global American businesses whose products and services become less expensive in overseas markets.7

Conversely, international companies may suffer lower sales in the U.S. as their products become more expensive. It’s a mixed bag of potential outcomes, but Wall Street has become more and more focused on the dollar’s trajectory.

 

Final Thoughts

August has historically been a particularly volatile month. For instance, in 2019, the S&P 500 posted moves of more than one percent in 22 trading days.8

One of the possible reasons is that many traders are away on vacation, resulting in light volume, which may amplify market volatility. But this year, it’s uncertain whether traders will be away on vacation due to the pandemic. Should markets become volatile in the weeks ahead, investors may want to remind themselves of the seasonal trends that may be at work.

 


T I P   O F   T H E   W E E K

If your life or financial situation changed notably this year (a new job, a marriage, an addition to the family), then now should be a time to review the state of your personal insurance and your risk management approach.


THE WEEK AHEAD: KEY ECONOMIC DATA

Monday: Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) Manufacturing Index. Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing Index.

Wednesday: Automated Data Processing (ADP) Employment Report. Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) Services Index. Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Non-Manufacturing Index.

Thursday: Jobless Claims.

Friday: Employment Situation Report.

Source: Econoday, July 31, 2020

The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S. economic data releases (including key economic indicators), Federal Reserve policy meetings, and speaking engagements of Federal Reserve officials. The content is developed from sources believed to be providing accurate information. The forecasts or forward-looking statements are based on assumptions and may not materialize. The forecasts also are subject to revision.

 

THE WEEK AHEAD: COMPANIES REPORTING EARNINGS

Monday: The Clorox Company (CLX), American International Group (AIG).

Tuesday: The Walt Disney Company (DIS), Twilio (TWLO), Prudential Financial (PRU), Emerson Electric (EMR).

Wednesday: CVS Health (CVS), Humana (HUM), Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (REGN), Wayfair (W).

Thursday: Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY), Booking Holdings (BKNG), Becton Dickinson (BDX), T-Mobile (TMUS).

Source: Zacks, July 31, 2020

Companies mentioned are for informational purposes only. It should not be considered a solicitation for the purchase or sale of the securities. Investing involves risks, and investment decisions should be based on your own goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk. The return and principal value of investments will fluctuate as market conditions change. When sold, investments may be worth more or less than their original cost. Companies may reschedule when they report earnings without notice.


Q U O T E   O F   T H E   W E E K

“Live in such a way that you would not be ashamed to sell your parrot to the town gossip.”

WILL ROGERS


 

 


T H E   W E E K L Y   R I D D L E

You spend 20% of the money in your wallet. Then you spend 20% of what remains in your wallet after that. You spend $72.00 total. How much money did you originally have in your wallet?

 

LAST WEEK’S RIDDLE: How many 9s are in the range of numbers from 1 to 100? (Remember, the number 99 has two 9s in it.)

ANSWER: 20, counting 99, which has 2 nines in it.


 This material was prepared by MarketingPro, Inc., and does not necessarily represent the views of the presenting party, nor their affiliates. The information herein has been derived from sources believed to be accurate. Please note – investing involves risk, and past performance is no guarantee of future results. Investments will fluctuate and when redeemed may be worth more or less than when originally invested. This information should not be construed as investment, tax or legal advice and may not be relied on for the purpose of avoiding any Federal tax penalty. This is neither a solicitation nor recommendation to purchase or sell any investment or insurance product or service, and should not be relied upon as such. All market indices discussed are unmanaged and are not illustrative of any particular investment. Indices do not incur management fees, costs and expenses, and cannot be invested into directly. All economic and performance data is historical and not indicative of future results. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted index of 30 actively traded blue-chip stocks. The Nasdaq Composite Index is a market-weighted index of all over-the-counter common stocks traded on the National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotation System. The Standard & Poor’s 500 (S&P 500) is a market-cap weighted index composed of the common stocks of 500 leading companies in leading industries of the U.S. economy. NYSE Group, Inc. (NYSE:NYX) operates two securities exchanges: the New York Stock Exchange (the “NYSE”) and NYSE Arca (formerly known as the Archipelago Exchange, or ArcaEx®, and the Pacific Exchange). NYSE Group is a leading provider of securities listing, trading and market data products and services. The New York Mercantile Exchange, Inc. (NYMEX) is the world’s largest physical commodity futures exchange and the preeminent trading forum for energy and precious metals, with trading conducted through two divisions – the NYMEX Division, home to the energy, platinum, and palladium markets, and the COMEX Division, on which all other metals trade. Additional risks are associated with international investing, such as currency fluctuations, political and economic instability and differences in accounting standards. This material represents an assessment of the market environment at a specific point in time and is not intended to be a forecast of future events, or a guarantee of future results. MarketingPro, Inc. is not affiliated with any person or firm that may be providing this information to you. The publisher is not engaged in rendering legal, accounting or other professional services. If assistance is needed, the reader is advised to engage the services of a competent professional.

CITATIONS:

  1. The Wall Street Journal, July 31, 2020
    2. The Wall Street Journal, July 31, 2020
    3. The Wall Street Journal, July 31, 2020
    4. CNBC.com, July 27, 2020
    5. CNBC.com, July 30, 2020
    6. BEA.gov, July 30, 2020
    7. Reuters.com, July 28, 2020
    8. CNBC.com, August 31, 2019

CHART CITATIONS:

The Wall Street Journal, July 31, 2020
The Wall Street Journal, July 31, 2020
treasury.gov, July 31, 2020

Copyright © 2024
Cornerstone Financial Advisory, LLC

Weekly Economic Update – August 17, 2020

Weekly Economic Update – July 27, 2020

In this week’s recap: stocks slip after heavier jobless claims and U.S.-China strife.

Weekly Economic Update

Presented by Cornerstone Financial Advisory, LLC, July 27, 2020


THE WEEK ON WALL STREET

Stocks slipped in the final days of trading last week on higher jobless claims and rising tensions in the U.S.-China relationship.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 0.76%, while the Standard & Poor’s 500 dipped 0.28%. The Nasdaq Composite Index dropped 1.33% for the week. The MSCI EAFE Index, which tracks developed stock markets overseas, rose 1.24%.1,2,3

Stocks Lose Momentum

Stocks marched higher to begin the week on progress with a COVID-19 vaccine and a string of upbeat corporate quarterly reports. Firming oil prices and the passage of a fiscal stimulus bill by the European Union also helped buoy investors’ spirits.

Market sentiment, however, turned negative after Thursday morning’s report of an uptick in new unemployment claims, which suggested a possible slowdown in hiring. The market was led lower by the technology sector ahead of quarterly reports from some of the sector’s biggest names.4

U.S.-China Tensions Escalate

Tensions escalated last week as the U.S. ordered China to close its consulate in Houston, which the White House claimed was stealing American information. A day earlier, the U.S. had accused China of attempting to steal COVID-19 research data. China responded by ordering the U.S. to close its consulate in the city of Chengdu.5,6

The markets appear more focused on the apparent deteriorating relations between the two nations, worried about a repeat of the trade battle in 2018. Whether the rancor is managed is likely to remain a top concern for investors in the weeks ahead.

FINAL THOUGHTS

The mega-cap technology companies’ market dominance is a concern to some. Last week it was reported that six of these mega-cap stocks represent 41% of the Nasdaq market capitalization. Five mega-cap names included in the S&P 500 Index account for 22% of that index’s market capitalization.7

Investors have embraced these firms because they appear to be able to show solid financial performance in the midst of an economy coping with COVID-19.


 

T I P   O F   T H E   W E E K

Periodically review and/or rebalance your portfolio, to see that your investments are in sync with your objectives.


 

 THE WEEK AHEAD: KEY ECONOMIC DATA

Monday: Durable Goods Orders.

Wednesday: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meeting Announcement.

Thursday: Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Jobless Claims.

Friday: Consumer Sentiment.

Source: Econoday, July 24, 2020

The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S. economic data releases (including key economic indicators), Federal Reserve policy meetings, and speaking engagements of Federal Reserve officials. The content is developed from sources believed to be providing accurate information. The forecasts or forward-looking statements are based on assumptions and may not materialize. The forecasts also are subject to revision.

 

THE WEEK AHEAD: COMPANIES REPORTING EARNINGS

Tuesday: Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Visa (V), Pfizer (PFE), McDonalds (MCD), 3M Company (MMM), eBay (EBAY), D.R. Horton (DHI).

Wednesday: Facebook (FB), Boeing (BA), Qualcomm (QCOM), PayPal (PYPL), General Motors (GM), Shopify (SHOP), Teladoc Health (TDOC).

Thursday: Apple (AAPL), Ford (F), Alphabet (GOOGL), Mastercard (MA), Procter & Gamble (PG), Eli Lilly (LLY), United Parcel Service (UPS).

Friday: AbbVie (ABBV), Exxon Mobil (XOM), Caterpillar (CAT), Merck (MRK), Chevron (CVX).

Source: Zacks, July 24, 2020

Companies mentioned are for informational purposes only. It should not be considered a solicitation for the purchase or sale of the securities. Investing involves risks, and investment decisions should be based on your own goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk. The return and principal value of investments will fluctuate as market conditions change. When sold, investments may be worth more or less than their original cost. Companies may reschedule when they report earnings without notice.


 

Q U O T E   O F   T H E   W E E K

“Imagination is the eye of the soul.”

JOSEPH JOUBERT



T H E   W E E K L Y   R I D D L E

How many 9s are in the range of numbers from 1 to 100? (Remember, the number 99 has two 9s in it.)

 

LAST WEEK’S RIDDLE: Is there a way that you can make the number seven even?

ANSWER: Take away the S, and seven becomes even.


 

Investing involves risks, and investment decisions should be based on your own goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk. The return and principal value of investments will fluctuate as market conditions change. When sold, investments may be worth more or less than their original cost.

The forecasts or forward-looking statements are based on assumptions, may not materialize, and are subject to revision without notice.

The market indexes discussed are unmanaged, and generally, considered representative of their respective markets. Index performance is not indicative of the past performance of a particular investment. Indexes do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses. Individuals cannot directly invest in unmanaged indexes. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average is an unmanaged index that is generally considered representative of large-capitalization companies on the U.S. stock market. Nasdaq Composite is an index of the common stocks and similar securities listed on the Nasdaq stock market and is considered a broad indicator of the performance of technology and growth companies. The MSCI EAFE Index was created by Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) and serves as a benchmark of the performance of major international equity markets, as represented by 21 major MSCI indexes from Europe, Australia, and Southeast Asia. The S&P 500 Composite Index is an unmanaged group of securities that are considered to be representative of the stock market in general.

U.S. Treasury Notes are guaranteed by the federal government as to the timely payment of principal and interest. However, if you sell a Treasury Note prior to maturity, it may be worth more or less than the original price paid. Fixed income investments are subject to various risks including changes in interest rates, credit quality, inflation risk, market valuations, prepayments, corporate events, tax ramifications and other factors.

International investments carry additional risks, which include differences in financial reporting standards, currency exchange rates, political risks unique to a specific country, foreign taxes and regulations, and the potential for illiquid markets. These factors may result in greater share price volatility.

Please consult your financial professional for additional information.

This content is developed from sources believed to be providing accurate information. The information in this material is not intended as tax or legal advice. Please consult legal or tax professionals for specific information regarding your individual situation. This material was developed and produced by FMG Suite to provide information on a topic that may be of interest. FMG is not affiliated with the named representative, financial professional, Registered Investment Advisor, Broker-Dealer, nor state- or SEC-registered investment advisory firm. The opinions expressed and material provided are for general information, and they should not be considered a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security.

Copyright 2020 FMG Suite.

CITATIONS:

  1. The Wall Street Journal, July 24, 2020
    2. The Wall Street Journal, July 24, 2020
    3. The Wall Street Journal, July 24, 2020
    4. NYTimes.com, July 23, 2020
    5. CBSnews.com, July 22, 2020
    6. APNews.com, July 24, 2020
    7. CNBC, July 22, 2020

CHART CITATIONS:

The Wall Street Journal, July 24, 2020
The Wall Street Journal, July 24, 2020
treasury.gov, July 24, 2020

Copyright © 2024
Cornerstone Financial Advisory, LLC

The Sun Will Shine Again

Acknowledge:

You’ve seen the news.  The pandemic, race riots, geo-political unrest, and economic uncertainty.  For some reason the news presented to us has always seemed to be glim, and even more so now.  All the information we have access to is overwhelming and it is difficult to digest and fully discern its accuracy.  I personally feel like this has been a roller coaster of a time.  I feel confident and full of hope one day and down the next.  As a man of faith, I remind myself that my hope, true hope, doesn’t come from the circumstances of the day.

Perspective:

In a financial plan, timeless wisdom prevails.  These times reiterate the value of spending less that we earn, the importance of an emergency fund, and being careful with debt.  This pandemic reinforces the importance of asset allocation and diversification.

“Everyone has a plan ’till they get punched in the mouth” – Mike Tyson

I love this quote from Mike Tyson.  This wit and wisdom of Tyson indicates that it is human nature to have a plan and follow it until there’s a shock to the system and then we begin to flail. We have a plan in place for a time such as this.  Although it can be tempting, this is not the time to flail.  Now is the time for confident resolve.

Confidence:

The very things we try to avoid at all costs, are the same things that accelerate our personal and collective growth.  We do not grow in spite of tribulation; we grow because of it.  There is no doubt, it’s a high cost for growth.  But challenging times accelerate ingenuity and problem solving.  Think of the failed moon launches: budget pressures, technology challenges, political pressure, waning public support, and the time crunch.  What was the result of all these tensions?

“One small step for man, one giant leap for mankind” – Neil Armstrong

I have confidence in our desire and ability to thrive because of tough times.  What do we learn?  How do we get better?

Opportunity: 

Staying the course does not mean standing still.  It means we have a plan and we adjust…looking for opportunities.

Covid-19 has been an accelerant for previously existing trends…

    • Cloud Computing
    • Cybersecurity
    • Online eCommerce
    • Efficient Logistics
    • Telemedicine
    • Working from home
    • Home fitness
    • Online education – possibly reducing higher education costs and reducing future student loan debt.
    • Deglobalization, diversifying, and shortening of the supply chain – possibility of new automated and intelligent factories manufacturing moving closer to the end consumer and out of China
    • Less business travel and in-person conferences
    • Home cooking increases
    • Investing in virology and anti-infectives
    • New standards for hygiene and sanitation

Plan of action:

What are our actions considering the market and these trends?

We plan to:

    • Rebalance
    • Look for mutual fund managers who are actively overweight the sectors with higher trending demand like tech and healthcare and underweight the sectors with a lessening demand like brick and mortar retail and office and retail real estate. Managers that look to discover companies that are winners considering these trends. We believe now is a time for active management rather than indexing or even factor-based investing.  Now is not the time to indiscriminately buy the whole market.
    • Tax-loss harvest
    • Roth conversions
    • Optimize asset location and allocation

 

Appreciation:

I appreciate you, your business, friendship, and confidence in these unusual times.  I pray for you and your family’s wellness.  These storms will not last forever and the sun will shine again.

 

 

 

 

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Cornerstone Financial Advisory, LLC